Money blog: Major bank cuts mortgage rate below 4% (2024)

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19:06:44

Wall Street's 'fear gauge' drops after Monday spike

Wall Street's "fear gauge" (proper name: the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index) has dropped by about 20% today - indicating markets are starting to feel more stable.

VIX surged by as much as 181% on Monday but on Tuesday it recorded a drop of 28% as stock markets rallied around the world.

Global shares have risen after a Bank of Japan official suggested the central bank would refrain from raising interest rates amid an unstable time in the market.

VIX is Wall Street's most-watched gauge of investor anxiety.

17:12:58

Airbnb shares slump amid slowing travel demand

Airbnb shares slumped nearly 15% today, with the company citing slowing demand in the US and shorter booking windows among the reasons.

The San Francisco-based company reported a 14.9% drop in profit for the second quarter compared with last year, despite an increase in bookings and revenue.

The company has warned it is experiencing a shorter booking lead time globally which refers to the number of days between the reservation date and actual arrival.

A shorter booking window can indicate travellers are booking travel at the last minute due to increased uncertainty and caution in spending.

There have also been signs that domestic travel in the US has slowed since the start of the year.

Airbnb chief financial officer Elinor Mertz said yesterdaythat softness in long booking lead times was a big factor in its forecast.

17:11:36

Is stock market slump behind us?

By Sarah Taaffe-Maguire, business reporter

The stock market panic of Monday may soon be in the rearview mirror as the worst-hit companies rebounded on Wednesday morning trading in the US.

The tech companies that suffered the most from the recent sell-off returned to the high values before fears over the US economy triggered the sales.

AI microchip maker Nvidia climbed 3.8% while Instagram and WhatsApp owner Meta and Amazon held on to most gains of the morning trades.

These highly valuable companies - worth more than $1trn - are part of the indexes that observers use to assess the health of the stock market.

While other tech giants like Apple and Google owner Alphabet saw a rise in their share price today, the numbers still aren't at the pre-Monday sell-off level yet.

As a result of these firms' share price growth, the tech-heavy NASDAQ was up more than 1%, as was the S&P 500 (containing companies relied on to be stable and profitable).

Up 0.75% was the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index of 30 major companies listed on US stock exchanges.

In the UK the benchmark index - the FTSE (Financial Times Stock Exchange) 100 - rose 1.75% on the close. The larger FTSE 250 with more UK-based constituent companies ended the day up 1.02%.

15:50:57

Barclays to cut mortgage rates from tomorrow

Barclays is making cuts to a selection of products across its residential purchase, remortgage and reward ranges from tomorrow.

The most notable rate change will be the bank's five-year fixed rate for home buyers with a 60% loan to value (LTV) ratio and a £899 product fee, which has been reduced to 3.84%.

The previous rate on the product was 4.04%.

Meanwhile, its 4.61% two-year fixed rate, will decrease to 4.43%.

The Bank of England base rate was cut last week from 5.25% to 5%, but lenders had already been slashing rates in the weeks leading up to the move.

Stephen Perkins, managing directorat Yellow Brick Mortgages, told Newspage that more lenders going sub 4% was "greatly welcomed".

"Barclays have made a real statement of intent here. It's game on in the mortgage market now," he said.

Meanwhile, Riz Malik, directorat R3 Mortgages, told the news outlet that the "post-base rate cut bonanza from Barclays will help drive confidence among borrowers and in the UK housing market".

14:43:01

US to avoid recession, bond giant says

The start of the week was rocked by turbulence on the global markets over fears that the US was heading for recession - but they have now rebounded slightly.

Trillions were wiped off US markets after figures showed fewer American jobs were created last month than Wall Street had predicted, combined with concerns the Federal Reserve had kept interest rates high for too long.

Now the US looks likely to avoid recession, according to bond giant PIMCO, which manages $1.9trn in assets.

Daniel Ivascyn, group chief investment officer, said the US was still on track for a soft landing - shifting to lower growth or flatlining without entering a recession - despite the probability of a recession increasing on Monday.

"We do think the market has probably gotten a little bit ahead of itself in terms of pricing in central bank cuts," Mr Ivascyn said.

"Barring some major geopolitical shock or some major issue with market functioning, central banks, the Fed in particular, will likely cut by 25 basis points in September and future meetings will be live."

The US fiscal picture is "dire" at the moment, but it remains manageable, Mr Ivascyn said.

13:02:50

Rate cuts to boost house prices, bank predicts

Halifax predicts house prices will increase for the rest of the year.

Lower mortgage rates and potential base rate reductions will push up asking prices, said the bank's head of mortgages, Amanda Bryden.

The average price rose by £2,200 from June to July, Halifax found, following three relatively flat months and putting the average house at £291,268.

"Last week's Bank of England base rate cut, which follows recent reductions in mortgage rates, is encouraging for those looking to remortgage, purchase a first home or move along the housing ladder," said Ms Bryden.

Rates were lowered from 5.25% to 5% on Thursday - the first cut in more than four years.

"Against the backdrop of lower mortgage rates and potential further base rate reductions, we anticipate house prices to continue a modest upward trend throughout the remainder of this year," Ms Bryden said.

Holly Tomlinson, a financial planner at wealth manager Quilter, said she expected the autumn to be a busier period for the market, as indecisive sellers are encouraged by the direction in which rates are going.

Purplebricks chief executive Sam Mitchell agreed: "With lenders already slashing mortgage rates in response to last week’s decision, buyers are beginning to move ahead with purchasing decisions they have been putting off for months."

11:52:50

The secret code word that will get you free crumpets

A supermarket cafe is giving away free crumpets - if you know the password.

Ask for "Ellen" at a Morrisons Cafe and you can get a free portion of Warburtons crumpets with a choice of six toppings.

The offer, named after Warburton's founder, Ellen Warburton, is available until 25 August or while stock lasts.

How to get your free crumpets

Just ask for "Ellen" at the till, and you'll receive two crumpets with either honey, banana, chocolate spread, jam and butter, marmalade, or maple-flavoured syrup.

Vegan spread is available on request, according to Warburtons, which has teamed up with Morrisons over the summer holidays.

There is no minimum spend and the freebie is available in all cafes - but customers can only get one portion per person each day.

Morrisons told Money Saving Expert that there are 100,000 portions available - which cost 99p before they were removed from its cafe menus.

10:40:17

Would these AI deepfakes fool you? Santander's fraud warning

A major bank has created a series of deepfake videos to warn customers how realistic they have become.

Santander has posted the videos, featuring its fraud lead Chris Ainsley and influencer Timi Merriman-Johnson, on social media to raise awareness of a method of fraud increasingly available to criminals.

Deepfakes can be videos, sounds or images of real people that have been digitally manipulated through artificial intelligence to convincingly misrepresent a person or organisation.

"Generative AI is developing at breakneck speed, and we know it's 'when' rather than 'if' we start to see an influx of scams with deepfakes lurking behind them," said Mr Ainsley.

"We already know fraudsters flood social media with fake investment opportunities and bogus love interests, and unfortunately, it's highly likely that deepfakes will begin to be used to create even more convincing scams of these types."

Just 17% of people are confident they could easily identify a deepfake video, found an Opinium survey of 2,000 people for Santander in July.

Almost Six in 10 people said they are already more suspicious of what they see or hear because of deepfakes.

Here are Santander's top tips to spot a deepfake:

  1. Deepfakes are likely to be used in investment scams and impersonation fraud, such as romance scams.
  2. Look out for imperfections like blurring around the mouth, less blinking than normal, or odd reflections.
  3. Context is important. Ask: Is this too good to be true? If this is real, why is everyone not doing this? If this is legitimate, why are they asking me to lie to my family or my bank?

09:11:55

Stock market continues slow recovery after meltdown

By Daniel Binns, business reporter

The stock market in London is continuing to slowly recover this morning following Monday's global falls.

The FTSE 100 is up 0.9%, while the FTSE 250 has gained 0.7%.

Banks and financial institutions are among the top gainers, including NatWest, which is up 2.5%,Standard Chartered, which has risen 2.9%, and Lloyds Banking Group, which has increased by 2%.

Fallers include bottling company Coca-Cola HBC - which is a partner of the global drinks firm - down 2.4%.

It comes despite the company upgrading its profit and revenue forecast for the year.

Hotel giant IHG, which owns brands including Holiday Inn, is also down 1.8% despite positive second quarter results published yesterday.

Oil prices are also gradually creeping back up following falls last week.

A barrel of the benchmark Brent crude will currently set you back just over $76.5 (£60), a rise of 0.3%.

On the currency markets, £1 buys $1.27 US or €1.16 this morning.

Read more on what caused Monday's US recession fears here...

06:40:15

Here's how much grandparents would earn if they were paid for helping with the kids

Many families rely on grandparents for childcare, and most are happy to oblige.

Their reward is often simply spending valuable time with their grandkids and making memories - but what if they actually got paid?

A new tool by SunLife, a financial services company used by people later in life, allows grandparents to input all the hours of "parenting" they do - from taxiing to cooking to days spent babysitting.

We had a go - answering each question in what we presumed could be a typical scenario. Our fictional grandparent did two hours each of taxiing, cooking and cleaning for their grandkids, and 18 hours (roughly two working days) of babysitting a week.

For this, SunLife estimates a salary of £15,864 would be appropriate.

SunLife recently polled more than 2,000 grandparents and found there has been a rise in the number being relied upon to look after grandchildren during the school holidays and on inset days.

More than four in 10 (43%) now provide "holiday" care and are giving up 18 hours a week on average - up from 16.54 hours last year and equivalent to almost three days a week.

Money blog: Major bank cuts mortgage rate below 4% (2024)

FAQs

Are most US mortgages at rates below 4%? ›

Most US Mortgages Are at Rates Below 4%

Things used to be different when more Americans had mortgages that carried variable interest rates. In a report this week, UBS economists estimated that the share of floating-rate debt in the US mortgage pile has shrunk to about 5%, from a peak of around 40% in 2006.

Will mortgage rates go down to 3 again? ›

Mortgage rate predictions

Experts also don't expect any drastic dips in rates — say to 3% or 4%, as experienced during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

What will mortgage rates be in 2024? ›

The July Housing Forecast from Fannie Mae puts the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.7% by year-end, a slight decline from an average of 6.8% in the third quarter. All told, the mortgage giant predicts mortgage rates will average 6.8% in 2024 and 6.4% in 2025.

What are the current mortgage rates in the UK? ›

Residential mortgages
Deal type and lengthCurrent average rate across all lendersCurrent average rate across big six lenders
2 year fixed-rate (75% LTV)6.05%4.95%
5 year fixed-rate (75% LTV)5.35%4.52%
2 year variable rate (75% LTV)5.87%5.84%
Standard variable rate (SVR)8.65%7.5%

What are the lowest mortgage rates in US history? ›

The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

Is 4% a good mortgage rate? ›

Currently, a 4% mortgage rate would be considered low. If that question was asked at the beginning of 2022—when 30-year mortgage rates for conforming loans was 3.77%–instead of the end of 2022—when the same mortgage rates were 7.06%—the answer would have been, yes, a 4% mortgage rate is high.

What will the mortgage rate be in the next 5 years? ›

Most forecasting models predict that mortgage rates will remain above 6% in 2024, potentially dropping further in 2025. Whether or not the Federal Reserve loosens its monetary policy will play a significant role in determining the direction of interest rates.

What should mortgage rates be in 2025? ›

Looking beyond that, Freddie Mac's researchers said that they expect mortgage rates to decline even further in 2025, dropping below 6.5% on average. They believe this will further stimulate the real estate market by making homeownership more affordable for more Americans.

What will mortgage rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

Can you negotiate a mortgage rate? ›

The answer is yes — you can negotiate better mortgage rates and other fees with banks and mortgage lenders, if you're willing to haggle and know what fees to focus on.

How to get the lowest mortgage rate? ›

7 ways to get a lower mortgage rate
  1. Shop for mortgage rates. ...
  2. Improve your credit score. ...
  3. Choose your loan term carefully. ...
  4. Make a larger down payment. ...
  5. Buy mortgage points. ...
  6. Lock in your mortgage rate. ...
  7. Refinance your mortgage.

What is a good mortgage rate for 30-year fixed? ›

As of Wednesday, August 7, 2024, current interest rates in California are 6.63% for a 30-year fixed mortgage and 6.25% for a 15-year fixed mortgage. The median home sale price in the state was up 11.4 percent year-over-year as of April 2024, according to the California Association of Realtors.

What percentage of mortgages are below 5? ›

just over 78% of borrowers have a rate below 5% while 59.5% have a rate below 4%. Those lucky enough to have an interest rate below 3% fall to 22.6% of homeowners, Redfin reports.

What percentage of US mortgages are fixed-rate? ›

About 40% of U.S. households have mortgages, of which 92% have fixed rates and the remaining 8% have adjustable rates. Fixed-rate mortgages have a set interest rate for the life of the loan, which must be paid on top of the principal loan amount.

What is the average mortgage percentage in the US? ›

Today's national mortgage interest rate trends

For today, Monday, August 05, 2024, the current average 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate is 6.77%, decreasing 8 basis points over the last week.

Are assumable mortgages under 4 percent? ›

The way to ensure you get a mortgage rate under 4 percent is to look out for "assumable mortgages." These are the mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) or United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

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